Service Plays Tuesday 8/3/10

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The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

You can also create individual threads about specific services and discuss them freely but civilly. Again bashing and abusive treatment of any services will not be tolerated.

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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Lastly The Rx Moderators are appealing to you our everyday posters to report any promotional threads or posts that are made by services or individual touts. No links or contact information to an individual service will be allowed. Just the name of the service. Please report any threads or posts that are promotional attempts by services and touts to use this forum to promote themselves..

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I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




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Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking

Roy Halladay, Philadelphia Phillies (12-8, 2.21 ERA)

The Doctor was operating in his last two outings, giving up only one run on 11 hits in 17 combined innings of work. Halladay’s most recent outing was a one-run, six-hit showing which also marked his eighth complete game of the season. The last time he was in Florida, Halladay made magic with a perfect game against the Florida Marlins on May 29.

Mat Latos, San Diego Padres (11-4, 2.45 ERA)

The Padres’ budding ace hasn’t lost a start since June 4 and is 6-0 in his eight starts since that defeat. Latos was dealt a no-decision in his most recent trip to the hill, going five innings while allowing only one earned run on two hits but threw 98 pitches and walked three batters. He hasn’t given up more than three runs in a single start since suffering his last loss and owns a 2-0 record and 1.50 ERA in his last three starts.

Slumping

Paul Maholm, Pittsburgh Pirates (6-9, 4.52 ERA)

The Bucs’ lefty has stumbled in his last two starts, lasting just over 11 innings while giving up 12 hits on 20 combined hits. Maholm went 5 1-3 innings against the Colorado Rockies last Thursday, getting rocked for eight runs on 11 hits. It was the third time in the past seven starts he has failed to pitch into the sixth inning. He is 4-6 with an ERA just south of 5.00 at home this season.

Debuting

Sean West, Florida Marlins (0-0, 0.00 ERA)

The Fish send pitching prospect Sean West to the mound to face Roy Halladay and the Phillies. West made 20 starts for the Marlins in 2009, posting an 8-6 record with a 4.79 ERA. This year, he’s spent his time with Triple-A New Orleans, putting up a 4-3 mark with a 4.12 minor-league ERA. He made one start against Philadelphia last season, allowing two earned runs on seven hits in just four innings of work. He did, however, throw 93 pitches in those four innings.
 
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Lady Luck: Today's WNBA best bets

New York Liberty at Indiana Fever (-7.5, 146.5)

The Liberty are picking up momentum in the final weeks of the WNBA season.

New York has won three straight games, seven of its last 10 outings and is sitting fourth in the Eastern Conference standings – just three games back of the first-place Atlanta Dream. The Liberty’s most recent effort was a 71-67 victory over the Connecticut Sun Sunday, covering as 3.5-point home favorites.

"You could just feel the energy," veteran guard Cappie Pondexter told reporters following Sunday’s win. "You could feel it go low when we struggled, then go lower, and then feel it go really high. The fans here at the Garden want winners; they want intensity. And when they have it, it's the best arena to play in, hands down."

New York takes that energy on the road Tuesday, where it is a profitable 8-5 against the spread this season. The Liberty have lost both games to the Indiana Fever this season but managed to cover as 8-point road underdogs in a 78-73 loss back on June 5.

Pick: New York

Seattle Storm at Tulsa Shock (+7, 164)

The Seattle Storm will survive their most recent loss, which was only the third time this year Seattle has failed to pick up the “W”. However, with the postseason around the corner and first place in the Western Conference in the bag, the Storm could start taking it easy.

"You're eventually going to lose some games," head coach Brian Agler told the media following a 72-71 loss to the Minnesota Lynx Sunday. "Every team in this league is good. We've had the ability to finish games off. We almost did it again. Unfortunately, we didn't make a play at the end."

The heavy-taped thumb of star center Lauren Jackson is a perfect reason why Seattle should plan on coasting into the playoffs. Jackson, who is averaging 21.5 points this season, was limited to just 12 minutes of play during the loss to the Lynx.

Jackson has battled injuries throughout her pro career, along with teammate and fellow WNBA all-star Sue Bird, who has missed time with knee and back injuries this season. With just nine games left in the regular season, the Storm will be looking to rest their starters more and more.

Tuesday’s showdown with the worst team in the league is a perfect rest spot for Seattle. Tulsa is 4-22 in its first season since moving from Detroit and has just one win in the past 10 games. With the points piled high against the Shock, bettors will find value in the underdog.

Pick: Tulsa
 
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Tuesday MLB Play- GC

On Tuesday the Bonus Play is on the Pittsburh Pirates. Game 952 at 7)5 eastern. The reds fit a road favorite system thart is 89 games under .500 and pertains to their low scoring shutout win last night vs the Pirates. Leake makes the start tonight for the Reds. While he has been decent vs Pittsburgh this year the Reds have dropped both games he has started. The Pirates counter with P. Malholm, who is a better home pitcher than he is on the road. Malholm has allowed just 2 runs in 13+ innings vs Cincy this year. Look for the Pirates to surprise the Reds here tonight as a nice dog. On Tuesday there will be no surprises on the late phone card as we have 2 solid plays. The NL Total of the week is backed with 100% system and Power angles. I also have another MLB Diamond Cutter system. This one wins by an average 4 runs per game. For the Bonus Play take the Pirates tonight. BOL GC
 
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HOT LINES

Tuesday's Best MLB Bets

Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates (+125, 8.5)

Pittsburgh southpaw Paul Maholm edged Reds rookie Mike Leake head-to-head two months ago in a 2-1 pitchers' duel, but a lot has changed since then.

Leake is 3-2 since that meeting and has been limited in his innings to protect his young arm. Maholm is 3-5 over the same span and has been thrown to the wolves.

The strain is starting to show for Maholm, who allowed eight earned runs and 11 hits in his last outing while throwing a season-high 120 pitches. He lasted just 5 1/3 innings, the third time he has failed to turn in seven innings of work in his last seven outings.

"He never seemed like he got into much of a rhythm," Pirates manager John Russell said of Maholm after Thursday's 9-3 loss to the Rockies. "The biggest thing was that he had trouble putting hitters away, just didn't quite get the ball where he wanted to. He battled. It just wasn't his day."

Leake, on the other hand, is rested and ready after the Reds allowed him to skip his last turn in the rotation to recover. The Bucs are batting just .224 against righties in their last 10.

Pick: Cincinnati Reds


San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers (-108, 6.5)

The Dodgers can't seem to find their butts with a baseball bat these days, batting in the .100s in eight of their last 10 games and scoring just 11 runs during their 1-5 road trip.

Three of those came last week against the Padres (.100, .138 and .161), and they somehow managed to steal one of those games by shutting out the Pad Squad.

"We need to go home," Matt Kemp said after Sunday night's shutout loss to the Giants. "We've had to hear a lot of opposing fans yelling at us and we need to get home."

But the Dodgers aren't batting much better in L.A., and they are 0-3 in Vicente Padilla's last starts despite solid outings against everyone except the Padres. Padilla lasted only four innings after allowing four hits and two earned runs.

San Diego makes it a rematch of last week's game by ending Mat Latos to the hill. He's 2-0 in his last three starts with a 1.50 ERA - about what L.A. is averaging over their last 10.

The Dodgers are batting .166 against righties during that span and have scored two or fewer runs in nine of their last 11. One of those exceptions was a relative three-run explosion against Latos, but even a repeat performance tonight won't be enough to win this one.

Pick: SD Padres
 
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BETTOR'S TIPS AND NOTES
Bettors' Best Friend (BBF): Tuesday's Wagering Tips

Lines Off The Board

Brewers at Cubs: Total is off pending wind speed and direction at Wrigley Field.

Lines To Keep An Eye On

Reds at Pirates: Total opened at 8.5 but has dropped to 8 at most books.

Weather To Watch

Giants at Rockies: 50 percent chance of thunderstorms.
White Sox at Tigers: 40 percent chance of thunderstorms.
Reds at Pirates: 40 percent chance of thunderstorms.
Brewers at Cubs: 60 percent chance of showers.
Nationals at Diamondbacks: 30 percent chance of thunderstorms.
Phillies at Marlins: 40 percent chance of thunderstorms.

Who's Hot

Phillies are 9-2 in their last 11.
Rays are 9-1 in their last 10.
Twins have won eight in a row.
White Sox are 6-1 in their last seven.
Astros are 6-1 in their last seven.

Who's Not

Orioles are 1-8 in last nine.
Indians have lost six of their last seven.
Tigers are 1-6 last seven.
Brewers have lost five in a row.
Cubs are 1-6 in last seven.

Key Stat

23-3 - The Chicago White Sox's record as favorites over their last 26 games.

Injury That Shouldn't Be Overlooked

Cincinnati Reds slugger Joey Votto teaked his wrist during the weeend series with the Braves and was held out of Monday's starting lineup against the Pirates with a tweaked wrist.
Miguel Cairo started at first base in place and there's no word on how long Votto might be on the shelf. Votto is batting .322 with 27 home runs and is a big reason why the Big Red Machine is rolling this season.

Game Of The Day

Minnesota Twins at Tampa Bay Rays (-145, 8.5)

Notable Quotable

"I'm shooting for 2,500 (yards), but I'll be happy with anything over the record."
Tennessee Titans running back Chris Johnson, who rushed for 2,006 yards last season, said of his goal for this year. No back has rushed for more than 2,000 yards in a season twice and Eric Dickeron holds the all-time record with 2,150.

Tips And Notes

The Atlanta Braves placed second baseman Martin Prado on the 15-day disabled list with a broken knuckle on his right pinkie finger on Monday, a huge blow to their offense. Prado was leading the National League in hits with 138. The second-closest Brave to that mark is rookie Jason Heyward with 86. Prado led the team with 75 runs scored, with Heyward again the team's runner-up with 58. Look for the Braves to struggle offensively in his absence.

The New York Mets have decided to skip Hisanori Takahashi's next start in the rotation. The team was debating whther to spell Takahashi or Jonathon Niese - a bad sign when a team has to choose between which struggling starter to rest. Takahashi (7-5, 4.28 ERA) was scheduled to throw Thursday but the Mets have not yet named his replacement, likely a minor-league callup. Niese (7-5, 3.78 ERA) is scheduled to make his next start Friday against the Phillies.

The PGA Championship rounded out its 156-man field on Monday, extending invitations to Ben Curtis and Boo Weekley despite the fact that they fell out of the top 100 in the World Golf Rankings. The PGA offered special exemptions to the two based on a new rule that calls for the inclusion of former U.S. Ryder Cup team members. Weekley finished ninth at last week's Greebrier Classic, his best showing of the season, while Curtis has a sixth-place finish at the Arnold Palmer Invitational.
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Rays Monday night.

Tuesday it's Cubs and White Sox (2nd). The profit is 75 sirignanos.
 
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Hondo

Hondo's theory about the Rays experiencing a huge letdown after facing the Yankees failed in its application last night when the Twins flopped at the Trop to raise the debt to 1,270 armbristers.

Tonight, he'll put his disposable dead presidents on the always dangerous Dickey-Leake combo -- 10 units apiece on the Metamucils and Reds.
 
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bet.powa.fr picks

ELQ Rapid Wien - Beroe 2 (+2) @ 1.70 -
ELQ Rapid Wien - Beroe X/2 @ 38 * very small stakes
ELQ Rapid Wien - Beroe 2/2 @ 36 * very small stakes
ELQ Rapid Wien - Beroe 1/2 @ 190 * very small stakes
FRI Benfica - Tottenham 1 @ 2.00 -
SG1 Young Lions - Geylang - 2.5 @ 1.85 -
DE3 Braunschweig - Sandhausen 1 @ 2.10 -
DE3 Kickers Offenbach - Bayern M. II 1 @ 1.75
 
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Hot pitchers
-- Dickey has a 1.29 RA in his last four starts.
-- Halladay is 3-1, 1.76 in his last five starts.
-- JGarcia is 2-0, 3.14 in his last five starts. Norris is 2-1, 3.05 against the Cardinals this year.
-- Olsen is 3-1, 2.61 in his last seven starts. Saunders has a 1.93 RA in his last couple starts.
-- Padres won last eight Latos starts (6-0, 1.58). Lilly was 0-0, 1.80 in his last three starts for the Cubs.

-- Guthrie has a 1.74 RA in his last three starts.
-- Buehrle is 3-1, 3.00 in his last five starts.
-- Romero is 2-1, 2.91 in his last three starts. Moseley won his first '10 start 6-1 at Cleveland (one run/six IP).
-- Beckett is 1-0, 2.84 in his last couple starts.
-- Duensing is 1-0, 2.45 in two starts this season.
-- Mazzaro is 4-0, 2.12 in his last five starts. Royals won four of last five Davies starts.
-- Vargas has a 3.12 RA in his last four starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Leake has a 5.76 RA in his last five starts. Maholm is 0-2, 9.53 in his last couple starts.
-- Lowe is 1-4, 5.03 in his last six starts.
-- West was 4-3, 3.12 in 11 AAA starts; he is
-- Narveson is 1-3, 8.53 in his last five starts. Diamond was 5-4, 3.16 in 21 AAA starts this season.
-- JSanchez has a 5.28 RA in his last six home starts. Cook is 1-2, 7.23 in his last four starts.

-- Bell allowed four runs in 3.1 IP at Texas in his first MLB start.
-- Porcello is 0-4, 6.88 in his last six starts. Bonderman is 2-2, 7.30 in his last six starts. Torres is 7-7, 3.41 in 20 AAA starts this season. he was 1-2, 6.04 in 28 big league IP LY.
-- Huff is 0-3, 9.00 in his last five starts.
-- Niemann has 5.24 RA in his last four starts.
-- Lewis is 2-3, 4.75 in his last six starts.

Totals
-- Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Pittsburgh home games.
-- Five of last seven Atlanta home games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-2-2 in last dozen Halladay starts.
-- Last four Narveson starts went over the total.
-- Five of last six Houston road games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Cook starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 8-3 in last eleven Arizona home games.
-- Under is 8-3-1 in Dodgers' last twelve games.

-- Last three Guthrie starts stayed under the total.
-- Last five Bonderman starts went over the total.
-- Over is 10-1-1 in last twelve games in the Bronx.
-- Five of last seven Beckett starts went over the total.
-- Four of last five Minnesota road games went over the total.
-- Over is 7-4-1 in last twelve Kansas City road games.
-- Seven of last eight Vargas starts stayed under the total.

Hot Teams
-- Reds won seven of their last ten games.
-- Marlins won seven of their last nine home games.
-- Braves are 30-9 in their last 39 home games.
-- Cardinals won 11 of their last 13 home games. Astros won last five games, outscoring foes 39-8.
-- Giants are 12-2 in their last 14 road games. Rockies won their last four games, scoring 40 runs.
-- Padres won 12 of their last 16 games.

-- Blue Jays won seven of their last nine games.
-- White Sox won six of their last seven games.
-- Indians won three straight road games for first time all year. Red Sox won four of their last six games.
-- Rays won 13 of their last 15 home games. Twins won eight of their last nine games.
-- Oakland won seven of its last nine home games.
-- Rangers are 15-5 in their last 20 road games.

Cold Teams
-- Phillies lost 13 of their last 18 road games.
-- Mets are 5-13 since the All-Star break.
-- Pirates lost nine of their last eleven games.
-- Cubs lost last six games, allowing 63 runs. Brewers lost 18 of their last 24 road games.
-- Nationals lost seven of their last ten road games. Arizona lost nine of its last eleven games overall.
-- Dodgers lost their last six games, scoring 14 runs.

-- Bronx lost three of its last four games.
-- Tigers lost eight of their last nine games.
-- Angels lost 11 of their last 14 road games. Orioles lost nine of their last eleven home games. .
-- Royals lost 15 of their last 21 games.
-- Mariners were 0-7 last week, got shut out in last two games.
 
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SPORTS WAGERS

Houston +2.26 over ST. LOUIS

Win or lose here, the fact is this line is just plain ridiculous. First, the Astros are very warm with six wins in a row and seven wins in eight games. Over that eight-game stretch they’ve outscored the opposition 43-13. They came in here last night and won the opener 9-4 and have a very good chance of extending its winning streak. The Cards are 5-6 over its last 11 games with three of those six wins coming against the Pirates. They lost a series to the both the Cubbies and Mets to make up its other two wins. The Cards remain a way overvalued squad almost daily and you can triple that for this one. Bud Norris has the potential to be one of the game's better young starters. He has a ton of upside and has really picked it up recently. In his last two starts covering 12 frames, Norris has allowed just eight hits, struck out 12 and had induced 18 groundballs to just 12 fly-balls. He’s faced the Cards three times this season and in 20 innings, he struck out 21, walked four, and had a BAA of .227 and an ERA of 2.61. Overall, Norris has 85 K’s in 80 innings. Jaime Garcia is another very decent young starter and could definitely have a very good game here. Everything Garcia does is good and he’s a pitcher to watch, as he could develop into one of the best in a couple of years. Thing is, he and the Cards absolutely do not warrant this tag against Norris and the resurgent Astros. This one could come down to the pens and the Astros ripped apart the Cards pen last night. Can someone explain why EVERY Cards reliever has a heavy beard and looks like a character from Deliverance. Is that another one of LaRussa’s futile ploys to intimidate hitters? It must be because it can’t be a coincidence that every one of them sports that same look. Have another whiskey Tony. Anyway, what we have here is a sweet tag on a presently sweet combo of Norris and the Astros. Play: Houston +2.26 (Risking 2 units).


San Diego +1.08 over LOS ANGELES

The Padres keep jabbing the Dodgers and now it only seems like a matter of time before the Dodgers hit the canvas. The Padres came in here last night and scored 10 times and have now beaten L.A. three out of four games in the past week. What he have here is two outstanding pitchers in Ted Lilly and Mat Latos. Lilly was on his way to his fourth consecutive strong season before being traded to LA. He's an extreme flyball pitcher (29/18/50 G/LD/F) who has suffered from bouts of gopheritis (1.5 HR/9). Going from Wrigley Field to Dodger Stadium can only help him and outside of a poor showing in May, he’s posted great numbers in every other month. Having said that, you have to like Latos’ chances of outperforming Lilly. Latos is the straight goods. This guy has been about as unhittable a pitcher as there is in the game and it doesn’t matter if he’s pitching at Petco or elsewhere. He dominates. The real kicker here, however, is the pens, where comparing the two is like comparing Peyton Manning to Ryan Fitzpatrick and it’s not in the Dodgers favor. Play: San Diego +1.08 (Risking 2 units).


San Francisco +1.20 over COLORADO

After a 12-game losing streak the Rocks were able to take out its frustrations on the Cubbies. Big deal. The Brewers joined that same club last night by beating the Cubs 18-1. This is not the Cubbies. The Giants have been playing great ball for weeks. They’re 13-3 over its last 16 road games and overall they’ve won 22 of its last 27. Aaron Cook instills fear into nobody. Cook has not made it out of the fifth inning in two of his last three starts and failed to make it out of the third in his last against the Pirates. Over his last four games, covering just 18.2 frames, Cook has been tagged for 31 hits and 15 earned runs for an ERA of 7.23 a WHIP of 1.93 and an OBA of .371. It’s also worth noting that Cook was taken to the hospital for X-rays after he took a foul ball off his foot during batting practice Saturday. In fact, he has not pitched past the fifth inning in three of his last four games. For Jonathon Sanchez it’s all about control. When he’s throwing strikes he’s dominating lineups. When he’s not he struggles miserably. He has 127 K’s in 122 innings this season and at this park a strikeout pitcher is about 100 times more appealing than a pitcher that doesn’t strike out many. Of course, walking hitters at this park is a disaster waiting to happen but with a tag on Sanchez and with the way the Giants are playing, it’s a risk worth taking, especially against the declining skills of Cook. Play: San Francisco +1.20 (Risking 2 units).
 
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Wicked Good Wagers

MLB

Baltimore Orioles
Toronto @ New York UNDER 9.5
Colorado Rockies
Texas Rangers

Note: Wager to win evenly across all 4 picks.
 

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